100x in 1 Year Insights + TSLA S&P Update: Chat with Emmet Peppers (Ep. 201)
I chat with Emmet Peppers about S&P 500 inclusion update, narrative vs action, green pastures, recommended courses, survivorship bias, the keys to Emmet’s success, and the combo of detachment, blended probability perspective, psychology of outcomes, and the power of the big bet.
Emmet on Twitter: emmetpeppers
Emmet’s website:
LIVE Update on Emmet Peppers’ Big TSLA Options Bet (Ep. 197),
Emmet Peppers: Betting 7 figures on TSLA S&P 500 Inclusion (Ep. 194),
How I Went From $1M to $30M In 2020: Chat With Emmet Peppers (Ep. 176),
2014 interview with Emmet:
Timestamps
0:00 - Intro
0:55 - Emmet’s trade update
2:28 - Risk of speculators flipping to S&P
4:40 - Tesla doing a stock offering
6:50 - S&P is a share price catalyst
9:07 - S&P’s Monday announcement
10:30 - Crafting research vs verifying what’s true
14:05 - How to discern what’s true
15:45 - Big loss example even with early success
17:15 - Stripe IPO via SPAC theory
21:20 - How did Emmet verify veracity of S&P rise theory?
24:05 - Courses for options trading
32:45 - How to learn about options
34:25 - Survivorship bias
38:15 - Role of ambition in investing
43:05 - Have you followed someone else’s trade?
45:05 - Unsureness in investment moves
50:35 - What’s the key insight that allows your brain to find opportunity?
54:00 - Dave’s take on Emmet’s investment insights
1:05:15 - Efficient market hypothesis
1:10:15 - Conclusion
🐦 Dave Lee on Twitter
🎧 Apple Podcast:
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📸 Instagram
💁🏻♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA, LMND, SQ, and other stocks at time of original video publish date.
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