The Dangerous Interregnum - Geoff Roberts, Glenn Diesen & Matthew Blackburn
The Dangerous Interregnum - Geoff Roberts, Glenn Diesen & Matthew Blackburn
00:00 Discussion on the current global crisis
03:29 Discussion on the complex events shaping the current world situation.
09:34 The world is facing the threat of a multi-theater, multi-power War or a cold war.
11:59 Rise of new global actors challenging established rules-based order
16:34 The West’s conventional weakness is deterring a major war with Russia.
18:41 The emergence of a new Cold War and its potential dangers.
22:43 The danger of willingness to put troops on the ground
24:29 The Ukraine war remains a constant threat due to the way the West has construed it.
28:37 Russia’s logistics and existential threat perspective on war with NATO
30:36 Difference in strategic empathy
34:24 Discussing lack of strategic empathy in relation to Russia, China, and Iran
36:26 Peace is created by defeating adversaries, which is dangerous.
40:28 Increased strategic empathy due to Gaza crisis
42:25 Conflict didn’t start in 2022, began 8 years earlier.
46:08 Understanding and empathizing with different perspectives
48:14 Discussion on the emergence of a multi-polar system in Eurasia.
52:27 Challenges of unipolarity and power distribution
54:33 Power dynamics and legitimacy in international relations
58:32 Western powers aim to restore unipolarity, while global powers advocate for multipolarity
1:00:26 The interregnum brings chaotic power dynamics and risky behaviors
1:04:18 India shifting towards balancing China, relinquishing non-aligned policy
1:06:16 Comparison of current America with 1970 Nixon era
1:10:14 Maintain balance of power through settlement and offshore balancing
1:12:04 Emphasizing the importance of diplomacy in legitimizing adversaries
1:15:52 Eurasian Economic Union creates balance in Central Asia.
1:17:44 Avoiding emergence of hegemon is vital for global stability.
1:21:39 US policy towards Ukraine and Russia under Trump
1:23:30 Trump’s foreign policy priorities and concerns
1:27:28 Questioning the focus on American imperialism
1:29:39 Putin’s war viewed as defensive action
1:33:33 Russia’s actions in Crimea not driven by imperial intentions
1:35:18 Territory is a symptom, not the cause of the conflict.
1:38:54 The global decoupling from the West and growing Russian strength.
1:40:55 Rising danger of nuclear blackmail and secrecy
1:44:38 Reckless escalation in response to Russian victory
1:46:37 Growing concerns of nuclear threat from Russia
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