The Blame Game Begins: The Moscow Theater Attack, Duty to Warn, and Mobilizing against Ukraine

Check out my book “How Ukraine Survived“: You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) In the aftermath of the Moscow Theater Attack, an interesting intelligence game began playing out between Russia and the United States. The Kremlin has strong political incentives to tie the attack to Ukraine. Given an earlier warning about the possibility of an attack, the United States likely has information it could release to counter Russian narratives. However, any such revelations risk sacrificing intelligence gathering methods. Thus, the dilemma for the Kremlin is find the right way to frame the attack without inducing the United States to disrupt the process. This video goes into the details of how such a dilemma works and the complications that come with it. 0:00 The Brewing Intel Battle 2:43 What Is “Duty to Warn“? 6:20 Early Warnings of an Attack 8:43 Russia’s Ukraine Claims 10:42 Russia’s Domestic Reaction to the Link 11:58 The Intelligence Game 16:55 How to Play the Game with Uncertain Information The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement. Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (): By : By :